Much Ado About Something

Realpolitik: The maturing of India’s foreign policy

Posted by: aman on: November 22, 2007

Economist has a good analysis of the gradual shift in India’s foreign policy which is keeping up with the time at least on some levels. As The Economist mentions in the footnote to the article, some idealists are less than happy with this gradual shift yet, it is worth keeping in mind that is quite consistent.

India is surrounded by countries which are autocracies. Pakistan and Bangladesh are under emergency rule. China and Myanmar are dictatorships. Nepal and Bhutan are monarchies and are just beginning to change track. Gone are the idealist days of Nehru where India found it almost impossible to maintain any sort of detachment from the idealistic position. Two events in the recent few months have provided a very clear example of the shift in New Delhi’s position and the way it deals in this hemisphere. First came the protests in Burma and the rather brutal crack-down by the ruling junta. If we were still living in the good ‘ol Nehruvian days, India would have stomped its foot and raised a lot of dust and tabled a UN resolution. But that didn’t happen now. India has a lot invested with the junta and there are real considerations about energy and the growing Chinese influence as well as the anti-India forces which periodically take refuge in Myanmar and the cordial relations with the junta have helped curb those. There were some symbolic statements made but thats where it stopped.

Then came the Pakistan situation with the General (read dictator) imposing emergency rule. Again, even if we go back just 10-12 years, we can clearly see how India would have reacted. It would have taken an idealist position and criticized the General and of course the Pakistanis would have rebuffed such interference in their internal affairs. Instead what we saw this time was a very cautious statement that was neither here nor there. This is India’s statement to the declaration of emergency in Pakistan. “We regret the difficult times that Pakistan is passing through,” this ambiguousness was a welcome change. One thing missing was a plan B at least publicly. It seemed from the reaction that India was hedging all its bets on the General and there seemed to be a lack of Plan B but there is no way to know whether that was indeed the case. It is a bit foolish to expect the India government lay out all its cards on the table. They might indeed have been talking with Benazir Bhutto or indeed, even Nawaz Sharif, but in all probability the General is here to stay at least for a few more years and it doesn’t make any sense to overtly reach out to Bhutto or anyone else and antagonise the General who still holds the reins.

Overall the policy shift shows a growing maturity in the sort of foreign policy that we might see in the coming years. And it is a welcome change.

Please also read the Economist article.

2 Responses to "Realpolitik: The maturing of India’s foreign policy"

Aman

It might be correct to say that Realism has been revived in India. The earliest Nehruvian policy was realist-based; but soon got lost when non-alignment became deified. I wrote about it in EPW earlier this year.

My point is that we are at risk of deifying another position called “do business with whoever is in power” as realism.

Nitin

Can’t say I really disagree with anything you have said above.

On your second point though, I’d contest because there is no way to know if that is indeed the case. The Indian govt may be reaching out to Benazir or others through the backdoor channel. It would be foolish IMO to overtly reach out to Benazir or Sharif and thus antagonize the person who is in power, which is Musharraf. He has not shown any signs that he is ready to relinquish his hold on power any time soon.

On the flip side, what do you suggest should be done. Admittedly, I haven’t read the article you quoted in your comment yet.

One more question. A bit off topic. I just read your response to Achin and you state:

In the Marxist interpretation, the state is a tool in the hands of the capitalist class, which uses it to pursue its ends—profit at the expense of the labour.

Do you think the Marxist interpretation stands true for the current US policy?

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